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Federal Reserve released its statement on their decision for interest rates

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Federal Reserve released its statement on their decision for interest rates

Here is the summary of the statement and press conference:

  • Rates remain unchanged
  • Fed will determine the timing and pace of reducing its balance sheet.
  • Fed believes the balance sheet run off will start after the process of increasing interest rates.
  • Fed plans to reduce securities holding over time in a predictable manner.
  • Fed is ready to adjust balance sheet anytime depending on the economic developments.
  • Fed looking to end QE in March and raise rates in March. Markets pricing in 90% chance of rate hike in March and possibility of 50 bps in March.
  • Policy path dependent on incoming data.
  • In the press conference Powell sounded very hawkish where he said:
    • Powell doesn’t rule out hiking at every meeting. There are 7 meetings left this year which means rates would go to 2% rates.
    • Also said “quite a bit room to raise rates without hurting jobs”.
    • Sees risk that inflation will stay high longer than expected.
    • We may move sooner and faster on the balance sheet than before.
    • Inflation situation “slightly worse” than December.
    • We will discuss balance sheet at the next two meetings.

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